THE PROCESS · CFB — College Football Computer Picks & Score Projections

THE PROCESS · CFB is a college football handicapping workflow built around GRIDIRON, a simulation model that projects a final score for every game on the board and compares it to the posted spread and total.

Each matchup runs through the PF/PA Claw-Back, a shrinkage step that regresses season points-for and points-against toward a conference baseline so hot starts are not taken at face value. The projected margin and total are then priced against the market number, and the gap between the two becomes the edge behind every LEAN, PLAY, BET, and HAMMER verdict.

Plays are staked with conviction-based sizing tied to cover probability rather than flat units, weekly exposure stays capped, and a free play is posted every Tuesday alongside the full slate, live scores, and a transparent track record.